WastedEnergy

Topics on Energy, Resources, Waste and Culture

Archive for August, 2010

Smoke Signals

Posted by wastedenergy on August 9, 2010

A pattern is emerging from the oceans of data.  And it’s not pretty.  Those who have been following the news this week have seen some of the surest signs yet that we have truly entered a brave new world, and nobody can say for certain what comes next.

Wildfires in Russia are nothing new.  In fact, by this time last year, more acreage had actually been consumed by fire.  But this time, something is different.  The fires are smaller, but greater in number, and they are taking place closer to highly populated areas, which is why Moscow has suddenly filled with a choking smoke, and concentrations of airborne toxins have risen to unprecedented and potentially lethal levels.  What changed that these fires became so much more serious this time around?

In short, what changed was the worst heat waves and droughts in over a hundred years.  And, as is always the case with these matters, “nobody can prove this happened because of global warming.  But then again, nobody can prove it didn’t either.”  Sounds like good enough reason for inaction to me. 

In any case, the forests are drying up and the fields are parched, and what that means is that populated areas in particular become more at risk of raging wildfires, caused by the casual flicking of a cigarette butt out a car window or tossing grill cinders off the porch.  And one of the largest and most economically significant victims of the heat, blazes and droughts has been Russia’s wheat harvest, usually the largest in the world.  In response, Russian prime minister Vladimir Putin declared a ban on any further exports, putting millions of people in the Third World dependent on imports of Russian grain at risk of food insecurity.  And unless rains come soon, forget about a second grain harvest this season.  The government of Egypt, which gets fifty percent of its wheat from Russia, claims it has several months of stockpiles and plans to buy grain from other sources.  But what about everyone else who wants to buy the rest of the world’s grain to feed people, let alone commodity futures traders?  Is it possible the poor will be outbid by Goldman Sachs yet again?  We won’t know for certain what the consequences will be of the failed Russian harvest this year until many months down the road, once the growing season in the vast majority of the Earth’s landmass lying in the northern hemisphere is long past and shortages have the potential to become critical.

It’s not just wheat that has been put at risk by the fires.  Russia, as we all know, was at one time part of the largest nuclear superpower the world had ever seen, and is still speckled with nuclear weapons silos, research facilities, and power stations.  And as we all know again, the country has always taken great care of them, to make sure nothing ever goes wrong.  So when the wildfires started getting close to Russia’s nuclear facilities, its leaders were quick to act to contain the flames encroaching on two nuclear facilities.  Nobody was terribly thrilled about the prospect of another Chernobyl or the catastrophic failure of critical infrastructure.  But risks still remain.  These facilities, particularly commercial power plants, require vast quantities of water for cooling in order to prevent meltdowns, the same water needed to fight the fires, the same water that hasn’t been falling from the sky for months…

This is supposed to be the answer to global warming?

Fires in Russia are not the only signals telling us it may already be too late to turn back.  Throughout Asia, catastrophic flooding has been the rule all summer.  Most of the news has been about China, but particularly of note is what is happening in Pakistan, which is facing its worst floods ever.  Millions have lost their homes and many face critical food shortages, which will surely be exacerbated by Russia’s failed harvest and the strain that will be placed on international food aid already.  Meanwhile, here in the United States, record high temperatures are the norm.  We languish in our air-conditioned homes and offices, going about our business and trying our best to filter out the news telling us that the world we once knew no longer exists.  We seem fine with it.  The U.S. Senate just decided climate change was of no consequence, and our only real option is to go about our business as usual.  Will we feel the same way once the heat gets so bad that we are cooking the grandkids?

These are the sort of events that makes you wonder just how far we have to go down the path of irreversible, catastrophic climate change before we finally get around to deciding it’s worth our time to actually do something about it.

Posted in Agriculture and Food, Air, Climate Change | Tagged: , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Rock Out

Posted by wastedenergy on August 6, 2010

Has anyone noticed that for something so cheap and reliable, the world’s number one fallback energy source is terribly expensive? We know coal is plenty polluting and costs a lot more than we see on our utility bills, particularly in the health of people and their environment and the seemingly intractable issue of climate change, but also in subsidies to support a wheezy old industry.  But aside from the question of pollution and other externalities: how much coal do we even really have?  And is there any limit at all to our seemingly insatiable appetite for the stuff as a species, even though we know how bad for us it is?

Just can’t get enough.

Most of the conventional wisdom on the subject, like “reserve” estimates from the U.S. Energy Information Agency and the International Energy Agency, will tell you something like “200 to 500 years at present rates of consumption,” never mind that there is a big difference between two and five hundred in any case.  But based on present growth rates in global coal consumption, the steady decline in coal’s net energy content, confusion between resources and reserves and the considerable quantity of coal left behind in abandoned mines (and the hazards associated with going back to get it), some experts like the ecological economist Dr. Albert Bartlett, have estimated that remaining demonstrable coal supply is a mere thirty to forty years.  That is quite a sobering thought, considering that before coal runs out, extraction must peak, at which point the supply will no longer be able to meet demand, and we don’t even have a very good sense of when that will happen.  It may already be happening, as China is set to consume half of the world’s supply of coal produced in 2010, with no end to its growth in sight, yet the country is already at the breaking point for its domestic reserves and faces critical, expensive, and time-consuming fixes to its infrastructural bottlenecks in developing any additional domestic coal.  Is the world prepared to face the consequences of a Chinese energy crunch?

None of this makes sense, of course.  Coal should be treated as a scarce resource and a polluting energy source, priced and its use policed accordingly.  Right?  Isn’t the whole idea behind a capitalist system that everyone pays the costs of transactions, so it doesn’t end up on everyone else’s tax bill or worse, just plain wrecking everyone’s lives?  But if the recent run-up in wheat prices, with futures climbing by eighty percent in just a month, demonstrates anything, it is that our present mode of capitalism has resulted in an abject failure to anticipate or account for supply crises of any kind, as well as other critical externalities like the steady erosion of our soil and our stable climate system.  And the effects of even just a Chinese coal supply crunch would resonate throughout the global economy, with the country producing fully half of the world’s consumer goods today and its tremendous purchasing power with which it could command the international coal trade.  While it might seem easy to point the finger at China for burning up the remainder of the world’s coal and all its ensuing consequences, we all bear a share of the responsibility, as it is we who have demanded the cheap goods and cheap labor that have in turn demanded cheap coal for China.  The only people who can truly claim to be victims of either climate change or an energy supply crunch are the people of the Third and Fourth Worlds who never saw their share of the pie from late capitalism.

Global coal consumption, from theoildrum.com

The number one obstacle to preventing catastrophic alterations to the climate and developing research and investment in alternatives to coal, like firmed wind and solar energy or advanced geothermal or ocean energy systems, is something that costs a mere three cents per kilowatt-hour to produce from our existing fleet of power plants, mines, distribution and transmission infrastructure: power.  That power is plainly manifest in the small army of lobbyists patrolling the streets of Washington, DC, where the eight cents of profit the utilities make selling three-cent power back to you in exchange for destroying your environment allow the purchase of politicians for what truly amounts to no more than pennies off their backs.  And somehow they succeed in convincing us that our future actually lies in smoking more and more rocks all the time - for if we were unconvinced, would we not do something else instead?

The fact that those we allow ourselves to be sold for such a pittance is what amazes me about the coal predicament more than any other single factor.

Posted in Climate Change, Energy Production | Tagged: , | Leave a Comment »

The Peanut Gallery

Posted by wastedenergy on August 6, 2010

Everyone’s got an opinion on the state of our home planet these days, and, as tends to happen, it seems like those who know the least have the most to say.  Even worse, the most outspoken voices on the subjects of environmentalism and limits to growth today belong not to environmentalists, nor even to those who are merely misinformed, but to those who actively seek to sow confusion and public distrust of science even (or especially) where the evidence is plain as day before our very eyes.

Can there be any question as to why the public seems so confused on the largest environmental question of our times, the matter of the planet being cooked alive in hot oil, the phenomenon some might call “global warming?”  After all, with the signal to noise ratio on the issue so low in the media, is it any wonder that the following is the kind of commentary you typically find from a public just about evenly divided on the question of whether humans have altered the planet’s climate?  This gem was taken from the comments section of the New York Times’ “Dot Earth” blog, and just the fact that this blog is found in the “Opinion” section should, by itself, tell you how seriously the media have taken the matter of climate change.

3.
Girma
Perth, Australia
August 3rd, 2010
10:14 pm
“And the science pointing to big, long-lasting consequences for the world from the buildup of greenhouse gases continues to accumulate.”

Not at all!

Human emission of CO2 has NO effect on global temperature as demonstrated in the following article:

http://wattsupwiththat.com…

Are you holding your face in your palm yet?  Yes, that’s right, Girma is saying CO2, a greenhouse gas, doesn’t actually cause any greenhouse effect, which is why, you know, our planet has an atmosphere that retains no heat and surface temperatures of 2 degrees Celsius.  Human emissions of any additional greenhouse gases therefore have no effect on the global climate system. 

Well, we haven’t gotten to the best part yet: where exactly are these all-too-vocal “skeptics” getting their evidence? (Sidebar: better to just call them deniers, since that is what they are - the word “skeptic” implies a questioning mind, seeking of knowledge, and attempting to find out answers for yourself, which is what scientists do.  Climate change deniers, on the other hand, get their info straight from the mouths of moneyed interests invested in the continued burning of fossil fuels.)

As you are probably aware, one of the most popular, and indeed salient, criticisms of climate change “skepticism” is that “it’s not supported by peer reviewed science.”  While it is not necessarily fair to dismiss all criticisms of catastrophic climate change theory as unscientific – there are, after all, peer reviewed papers that come to slightly different conclusions, though they do not question the fundamental mechanisms at play nor the fact that the Earth is warming – what is entirely fair is to say that a large and ever-growing body of evidence demonstrates that humans have, in fact, already altered climate systems at planetary scales through the release of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases and climate change pollutants, and it is even fair to say that there is a scientific “consensus” behind the matter of climate change.  So you’d better believe that when these “skeptics” think they have a scientist on their side, they are going to roll him out in front of the public as much as possible.

Meet Richard.  He’s an ordinary, hardworking American just like you and me, minus the monthly check from Exxon-Mobil.

Richard Lindzen doing what he does best; note his sponsor’s product placement in the background.

Richard’s favorite activities are denying the link between smoking and lung cancer, and making up what he says as he goes along in order to fit his preconceived ideas about how the climate works.  While you might at first be inclined to listen to what the man has to say, given his credentials as “MIT Professor” (and especially since the media’s idea of “equal time” is to have this guy debate Bill Nye on CNN, instead of, you know, another climate scientist), it is worth noting that he has earned a good deal of cred with a few other organizations as well.  Namely, the Competitive Enterprise Institute (sponsored by Exxon), OPEC, and Western Fuels, all of which have either funded his “research” or paid his way to travel and speak at conferences, and whichever fossil fuel interests are paying $2500 on any given day for the “consulting” services he offers.  Well gee whiz, I wonder why he seems so intent on starting from the conclusion that humans can’t possibly be causing global warming!  I mean, isn’t that what scientists do?  You start with a conclusion, fish for data to support it, then change your story to find a different way of supporting your original conclusion when the data refuse to comply, right?

Here is an example of what I mean (from SEED Magazine):

In 2001, Lindzen published a paper speculating that as the Earth warmed, water vapor would decrease in the upper atmosphere, allowing heat to escape back into space more efficiently, and thereby reducing overall temperature.  The paper met with vigorous criticism. Eventually, he disavowed the idea. “That was an old view,” Lindzen said about his five-year-old hypothesis. “I find it insane that I am still forced to explain this.”

Well, gosh, Richard, I don’t know, maybe the reason you’re continually asked to explain this matter is that when you form a theory about how a natural system like the climate works based on a given mechanism, and then base your conclusions about how that system might change on the effects of that mechanism, and then newer and better evidence comes along and shows that you were completely wrong, it might tend to discredit your theory a little bit, no?

These are called “ice cores,” also known as “where real scientists not sponsored by oil companies get their paleo-climate data.”

So, among those who have bothered with ice cores and other, you know, data, what kind of results have been found?  Surely there must be enough ambiguity, enough uncertainty in the data to justify some sort of skepticism, right?  Surely it’s not just the fear that any effective attempts to regulate the emissions causing climate change would disrupt some limitless growth fantasy, or at least the profits of coal and oil interests?  There couldn’t be anything to what the rest of the climate scientists are saying when they renunciate the views of Lindzen, et al., right?  Guess again…

Is this certain enough for you?

Anyway, it is one thing to proclaim uncertainty on a matter where one is ignorant or where the necessary facts are simply not available.  It is an entirely different matter to prognosticate endlessly, from a false standpoint of credibility, intentionally muddying the waters and taking advantage of widespread public ignorance on matters of science to deny a sense of urgency to an issue that truly deserves it.  And that is why, Richard Lindzen, there is a special place reserved for you once you finally finish expounding upon this issue, whether due to lung cancer or emphysema.  Just don’t let the heat get to you once you arrive!

Posted in Climate Change | Tagged: , , , , | 2 Comments »

You’re (Static) Killing Me Here…

Posted by wastedenergy on August 4, 2010

So, according to all the major news organizations (read: according to BP), everything is going totally fine with the Static Kill.  “Textbook,” in fact, according to BP exec Kent Wells.  With everyone seemingly drinking the brown murky Kool-Aid and accepting that the worst is over and everything is working, I think we need to remind ourselves once again that, in the immortal words of Yogi Berra, “It ain’t over ’til it’s over.”

So in that vein:

Anyone else noticed that the flow of “bubbles” or “drips” or oil, or whatever you like to call these things coming out of the BOP and leaving hydrate deposits for the past three weeks, have gotten way faster and larger since BP started pumping mud earlier today?  Once again, I’ve highlighted the areas of leakage, but to get the full effect, I recommend checking out the flow rate at http://deepwaterbp.com/ or any of the other sites hosting live feeds from the underwater ROV’s monitoring the cap.  Anyone who has been keeping track can see the flow escaping the BOP has been steadily increasing since the cap was first placed over the blowout, but it has now undeniably and dramatically increased since the static kill attempt began.

Stay tuned for more updates…I’ll be watching and updating as the static kill attempt continues.  For now, let’s hold off judgment on whether this whole shebang is working until we can actually see the results with our own eyes rather than taking BP’s word for it, shall we?

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged: , , | 1 Comment »

The Meaning Of Life

Posted by wastedenergy on August 3, 2010

So I’ve been doing some thinking lately. 

A lot of you have probably been checking in here from time to time, “mostly just skimming” (for which I wouldn’t fault you), looking for information on that whole oil thing that’s been in the news for a few months and seems to have suddenly disappeared (fear not, there will be more to say about that soon), or perhaps even digging through some of the archives to find some other, perhaps new, special areas of interest.  I welcome those who have joined me at the table for a few servings of brain food, particularly those who have contributed their own thoughts to the discussion.  At this point, after five months of WastedEnergy, I find it necessary to pause and reflect for a moment on some of the larger context of energy discussions within our society and in my own life personally.

I recently attended a college reunion where I was asked by a good friend, whom I had not seen in some time, just what it was that I hoped to accomplish by writing and talking about energy so extensively (she kindly left out the phrase “until everyone around you is annoyed and bleeding from their ears”).  It was this inquiry that got my thought process moving in a bit more philosophical direction, as the question was one I had not really pondered, at least not so directly.  Perhaps I had assumed, even erroneously, that the purpose was obvious, as the connections between energy and everything else might be plainly visible enough that no explanation or context was necessary.  Upon further reflection, I realized that my purpose really was not so obvious after all, that the bigger picture was still fuzzy enough to obscure some of the connections we know are there but leave us still looking at something fragmented so long as they are invisible.  So I will now address this, the nexus question, directly, the question of just what it is I am doing here and why I am doing it.

The Meaning of Greening: What I’m Seeing and Why I Think It’s Important

The question of why I or anyone else should choose energy as a starting point for discussion and a focal point for analysis is impossible to separate from the question of ecology, or the study of the objects and creatures that make up our homeworld and their interactions.  Ecology is the science of interconnectedness in living systems, but beyond that it is a philosophy and a way of looking at the world.  At its heart, this site is part of my effort to get everyday citizens to become more engaged and knowledgeable about the structures that lie at the center of our role in the universe, to think critically about the ways we use, think about, and discuss our world and its resources, to more clearly see humanity’s place within a matrix of ecological systems transversing space and time.  This philosophy, which undergirds the “green” movement and all actions taken toward a goal of ”sustainability,” is widely misunderstood as advancing an altruistic rather than a self-interested mindset, which helps explain why so many environmental slogans fail to motivate or inspire us to meaningful action, sacrifice, or self-discipline.  In fact, what the philosophy of ecology asks us to do is not to abandon our self-interest, but rather to expand the notion so that it includes not merely material gain for the body but also concern for our species, our future, the fate of life on our planet, the ability to live and breathe as nature has designed us all to do.  It asks us to awaken into our true ecological “self” and to open our eyes to the connections between all living things and our agency to influence those connections, for better or worse.

The matter of energy arises naturally within ecology, as all living systems and all species require not just energy but an extensive surplus of net energy in order to survive, thrive, and pass on their genetic information to future generations.  And a quick examination of humanity’s emergence and growth as a species reveals a series of radical transformations based on our ability to cleverly harness and manipulate different sources of surplus energy.  These transformations range from the mastery of the primordial energy of fire, to the use of stone tools and organization of humans into hunting bands to harvest the food energy embodied in large mammals that nearly wiped out the world’s macrofauna, to the manipulation of photosynthetic productivity through organized agricultural systems, to the advancement of systems designed to take advantage of the Earth’s vast underground reserves of solar energy stored in the chemical bonds of ancient plant remnants that launched the industrial revolution.  But humanity’s latest and most radical energy revolution yet did not truly come of age until the past century, when the vast physical networks of electrification, transportation, and information spanning continents began to appear and cement in place the seemingly instantaneous distribution of goods worldwide, both a harmonization and a homogenization of worldwide cultures and technologies, and even a certain singularity of consciousness.  In other words, the built infrastructure we love to depend on and ignore most is exactly what has given us everything about the world we know today, to the extent that most of us no longer even have most of the skills that got humanity here in the first place and would have difficulty surviving were we no longer able to depend on our cellular telephones, let alone highways and electrical grids.

And therein lies the central problem of modern ecology and the the biggest question mark regarding humanity’s evolution and ultimately our fate in the cosmos: the centrality of the finite stores of excess energy to the modern human’s way of life.  Without the unique properties we have come to know from fossil fuels, the convenience of abstracted energy disappears: energy becomes a part of your life once again when you must find and kill your next meal yourself rather than counting on these vast networks to take care of the problem.  And we are now in the process of watching this convenience begin to disappear, thanks to both scarcity and catastrophic-scale ecological damage.  The fact that members of our society can bear witness to the largest single ecological disaster in history and still insist on the necessity of drilling for oil in deep waters illustrates that transforming from a society based on drawing down and making available anywhere at all times the dense stored energy of stock-based resources to one based upon sustainable harvesting of flow-limited renewable resources is more than a matter of technology; it is a biophysical revolution of the first order, as radical as the emergence of the Earth’s first photosynthetic organisms.  The challenge of confronting the limitations of fossil fuel is easily the greatest of our generation and may even turn out to be the most dramatic and sudden transformation of humanity the world has yet seen.

In light of the centrality of energy within the ecological-biophysical view of the world discussed above, the public’s inattention to energy discussions, demand for a context (“OK, but how is this relevant to me?”), and abstraction-level knowledge or even sheer ignorance of energy systems within broader human society actually reveals a crisis in our way of thinking about energy.  The psychological crisis of a disconnect from the energy sources in nature that power our lives is so great that it that it threatens our very survival if we are unable to adapt quickly and effectively.  It is this very urgency that demands my attention to studying the question of energy and to becoming as effective a communicator and student-teacher of an energy-ecology focused worldview as I can.

So I am trying to get people to understand, not just intellectually or in the abstract, but in a real, physical, visceral sense, the magnitude of the challenge that lies before us.  I like to point out and talk about things like power plants, transmission lines, and garbage precisely because they are designed to be out-of-sight, out-of-mind, support infrastructure in the background, something that can be safely ignored and left in the hands of the experts.  In fact, nothing could be more critical to the life we have bought for ourselves, while we actually just discovered that the supposed experts have been out to lunch for quite a few decades now and never really made much of a plan before they left the buiding.  So it’s up to us now, and as a result, we need to get used to a few new ideas and shatter a few old misconceptions that have been popularized from way back in the days of energy ignorance and the paleo-economics that said free markets would always be able to provide you with energy and so there would be no need for you to think about it.  So if I have to break things down and explain in some digestible way what WastedEnergy is all about, here are three take home points from my energy discussions that I’d want all my readers to understand at this point, encapsulated in three common myths about energy and the way we live today.

Myth Busting: Lets Blow Stuff Up

Myth #1: Energy is just one aspect of our society among many, and other areas are more or at least equally important.

Truth: As any physicist can tell you, energy is not just another part of our world, nor even just a part of everything; it is, in fact, all of everything.  Classical economics, a religion based on worship of the twin idols of Reason and Abstraction and on Mankind’s mastery of both, has long treated energy as just one more sector of the economy with solvable problems to be delegated to yet another group of specialists, in this case engineers, even though anyone smarter than a fifth grader plainly knows many of the forms of energy we use today without which not a single industry or economic sector could survive.  Sure, most economists will admit when pressed that no organizational unit of society at any scale could survive without an “energy sector,” unlike, say, a cotton sector or an electronics manufacturing sector, but they still persist in compartmentalizing it into something that can be abstracted and substituted away.  Equating energy upon which everything relies with substitutable commodities or economic sectors is fallacious, but we persist in driving blind into the future because we believe it is possible to draw such analogies.

Myth #2: The crisis of unsustainability is mainly about technology, so I don’t really need to know the details.

Truth: Although it makes the point harder to sell, the truth is that sustainability in the way we produce and use energy, both the kind that powers our society and the kind that forms the matter of our world of resources and the physical environment, requires us to undertake not only a transformation of our infrastructure but of our psychology as well, demanding a more active whole-world ecological engagement of the mind, to trigger an event that might be described as humanity’s collective act of attaining a something like a kind of enlightenment.  It definitely requires a whole heck of a lot more than a few wind turbines and hybrid cars.  It requires more than energy-efficient appliances and “buying local.”  Hard as it might be to believe, it even requires a lot more than a few recycling bins at the mall and at the airport (and not just because there probably won’t be a mall, and there definitely won’t be an airport).

Sustainability is more a question of physics than anything else and requires a quite fundamental transformation of how we look at and think about every object in the universe.  It requires challenging the primacy of a Western mindset that has conquered the planet, and which tells us that economic value, or immediate utilitarian value to the highest bidder, is the only value that can or should be assigned to all objects, resources, and ideas.  It requires adopting an ecological mindset that sees not just present value in resources but also the timeless and intrinsic value and power of all objects and living systems in the universe.  The role that cheap energy has played in irreversibly reshaping our society is illustrated by the emergence of mass production after the Industrial Revolution, and the reassertion of something else that has crept back out from under its shadows in the post-industrial age: a hand-made economy, the primacy of creativity and re-emergence of ancient crafts not just for their aesthetic value but also from the standpoint of production value and utility under a new biophysical economic paradigm.  In other words, the devil is not just in the details, it is in knowing the details.

Myth #3: Our economic and political systems are resilient in the face of energy shortages and scarcity.  If we can survive and recover from a financial crash, then the economic system as we know it can suffer through an energy crash and still emerge relatively unscarred.

Truth: ???

To revisit the question posed earlier: what exactly am I doing here, and why the sudden outpouring of writings on this subject over the past few months?  Sure, you might find a few interesting and hopefully even thought-provoking items here, but what exactly is the end goal?

Well, my next waypoint on this journey through cyberspace and elsewhere (not endpoints, for ours is a universe that contains none) is a fork in the road, and which path you might take next depends on where you stand (for this same fork diverges from many points in our world today).  Some of us may even stand in two places at once.  In any event, if you are one who considers yourself well-versed on energy issues, then I hope my writing serves as an awakening to the urgency of the discussion and a call to action and to spread the word further.  Alternatively, if you are one of the many at a point where you recognize the problem of energy as an interesting curiosity but little more, perhaps a problem to be solved by other people…I can ask you only to open your eyes to the connections that lie in plain sight before you!

Duuuuude….everything in the universe is connected, and it’s all energy, man!

Posted in The Ether | Tagged: , | 2 Comments »

 
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